In this paper we show that simple buy-and-hold strategies over-perform market-timing strategies effectively used by Italian investors in equity mutual funds. We estimate returns from market-timing strategies using aggregate data on net flows for a large sample of equity mutual funds, available...

Investors have too often extrapolated from recent experience. In the 1950s, who but the most rampant optimist would have dreamt that over the next fifty years the real return on equities would be 9% per year? Yet this is what happened in the U.S. stock market. The optimists triumphed. However,...

This study models high and low frequency variation in global equity correlations using a comprehensive sample of 43 countries that includes developed and emerging markets, during the period 1995-2008. These two types of variations are modeled following the semi-parametric Factor-Spline-GARCH...

Immobilienaktien können Anleger nicht vor der allgemeinen Geldentwertung schützen. Ebenso wie andere Aktien bieten sie keinen effektiven Schutz vor Inflation. Stattdessen zeigen Regressionsanalysen negative Korrelationen an. Ein steigendes Preisniveau wirkt sich somit negativ auf die Renditen...