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We perform a comprehensive examination of the recursive, comparative predictive performance of a number of linear and non-linear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STR) regime switching models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136656
We perform a comprehensive examination of the recursive, comparative predictive performance of a number of linear and non-linear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STR) regime switching models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014190297
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003865691
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difference is due to long-term inflation being strongly negatively predictable by the dividend-price ratio. The impact of … inflation is to reinforce real return predictability and to reduce - or change direction of - real dividend growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095717
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The most up-to-date and accessible guide to one of the fastest growing areas in financial analysis by one of Europes's leading teaching and researching teams. This classroom-tested advanced undergraduate and graduate textbook provides an in-depth treatment of non-linear models, including...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012672526
Recurrent Support Vector Regression for a Nonlinear ARMA Model with Applications to Forecasting Financial Returns Abstract: Motivated by the recurrent Neural Networks, this paper proposes a recurrent Support Vector Regression (SVR) procedure to forecast nonlinear ARMA model based simulated data...
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