This paper analyzes the influence of downside risk on defaultable bond returns. By introducing a defaultable bond-trading model, we show that the decline in market risk tolerance and information accuracy leads to trading loss under downside conditions. Our empirical analysis indicates that...

What are the cross-sectional and time-series characteristics of corporate bond returns? Do corporate bond risk premia vary over time and are these time-variations predictable? And if yes, is it a sign of market inefficiency? Recent empirical studies show a strong mean reversion at the monthly...

The slope of a firm's term structure of credit default swap (CDS) spreads (five-year spread minus one-year spread) negatively predicts future stock returns. Stocks with low CDS slope on average outperform stocks with high CDS slope by over 1% each month for the next six months. Our result can...