We introduce a new hybrid approach to joint estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) for high quantiles of return distributions. We investigate the relative performance of VaR and ES models using daily returns for sixteen stock market indices (eight from developed and eight...

In this paper, we construct efficient forecast intervals for autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (ARCH) models using the bootstrap. Forecast intervals for returns and volatility are constructed using the linear estimator (LE) for ARCH model. An advantage of LE over the widely used quasi...

This paper is aimed at presenting application of bootstrap interval estimation methods to the assessment of financial investment’s effectiveness and risk. At first, we give an overview of various methods of bootstrap confidence interval estimation, i.e. bootstrap-t interval, percentile...