Recurrent Support Vector Regression for a Nonlinear ARMA Model with Applications to Forecasting Financial Returns Abstract: Motivated by the recurrent Neural Networks, this paper proposes a recurrent Support Vector Regression (SVR) procedure to forecast nonlinear ARMA model based simulated data...

Motivated by recurrent neural networks, this paper proposes a recurrent support vector regression (SVR) procedure to forecast nonlinear ARMA model based simulated data and real data of financial returns. The forecasting ability of the recurrent SVR based ARMA model is compared with five...

Forecasting changes in stock prices is extremely challenging given that numerous factors cause these prices to fuctuate. The random walk hypothesis and efcient market hypothesis essentially state that it is not possible to systematically, reliably predict future stock prices or forecast changes...