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This paper documents novel evidence that private debt contains value-relevant nonpublic information with significant economic value. We extract banks' private information from term loan spreads. Abnormal loan spreads significantly predict firms' future operating performance and uncertainty...
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This paper documents a new high risk-low return puzzle. Specfically, we find that a forward-looking risk measure extracted from credit line undrawn spreads negatively predicts borrowers' future stock returns. This negative risk-return relation is separate from previously documented asset pricing...
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We construct a measure of abnormal relative attention (ARA), reflecting unusual changes in attention paid to a stock by local relative to non-local investors, to measure local information advantages. An increase in this measure predicts higher returns in the short term. This predictive power is...
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