Investors have too often extrapolated from recent experience. In the 1950s, who but the most rampant optimist would have dreamt that over the next fifty years the real return on equities would be 9% per year? Yet this is what happened in the U.S. stock market. The optimists triumphed. However,...

Using a unique data set that contains the complete ownership structure of the German stock market, we study the momentum and contrarian trading of different investor groups. Foreign investors and financial institutions, and especially mutual funds, are momentum traders, whereas private...

The historical returns of small-cap stocks have exceeded those of mid-cap and large-cap stocks over long time periods. The additional return experienced by small-cap investors has occurred despite inherent disadvantages in the asset class

This book provides a comprehensive treatment of all the steps of asset allocation: detecting the market invariants; estimating the invariants' distribution; modeling the market at any horizon; defining optimality; accounting for estimation- and model-risk; including the practitioner's experience...