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Stock market contagion in Central and Eastern Europe : unexpected volatility and extreme co-exceedance

Horváth, Roman; Lyócsa, Štefan; Baumöhl, Eduard - 2016

We examine whether there is contagion from the U.S. stock market to six Central and Eastern European stock markets. We … use a novel measure of contagion that examines whether volatility shocks in the U.S. stock market coupled with negative … set of marketrelated variables, we show that during the period from 1998 to 2014, financial contagion occurred, i …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482691

Tail dependence of financial stocks and CDS markets : evidence using copula methods and simulation-based inference

Silva, Paulo Pereira da; Rebelo, Paulo Tomaz; Afonso, … - 2013

Using copula methods and simulation-based inference the authors address the association between the performance of the stocks of European banks and the CDS markets. Their analysis has three purposes: (i) analysing the dependence structure of the markets when extreme events occur; (ii) checking...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010187546

High and low frequency correlations in global equity markets

Engle, Robert; Rangel, José Gonzalo - 2009

This study models high and low frequency variation in global equity correlations using a comprehensive sample of 43 countries that includes developed and emerging markets, during the period 1995-2008. These two types of variations are modeled following the semi-parametric Factor-Spline-GARCH...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322613

Testing for convergence in stock markets : a non-linear factor approach

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Erdogan, Burcu; Kuzin, Vladimir - 2009

This paper applies the Phillips and Sul (2007) method to test for convergence in stock returns to an extensive dataset including monthly stock price indices for five EU countries (Germany, France, the Netherlands, Ireland and the UK) as well as the US over the period 1973-2008. We carry out the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003889148

Testing for convergence in stock markets : a non-linear factor approach

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Erdogan, Burcu; Kuzin, Vladimir - 2009

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898817

High and low frequency correlations in global equity markets

Engle, Robert F.; Rangel, José Gonzalo - 2009

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003909596

Foreign exchange predictability during the financial crisis : implications for carry trade profitability

Anatolyev, Stanislav; Gospodinov, Nikolaj; Jamali, Ibrahim - 2015

In this paper, we study the effectiveness of carry trade strategies during and after the financial crisis using a flexible approach to modeling currency returns. We decompose the currency returns into multiplicative sign and absolute return components, which exhibit much greater predictability...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313235

Are stock returns a leading indicator for real macroeconomic developments?

Burgstaller, Johann - 2002

I examine whether or not returns on stock markets are a leading indicator for real macroeconomic developments in Austria, Japan and the USA. Further I deal with the concept of stock market efficiency, the question whether or not information from real and financial sectors of the economy is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750238

The effects of exchange-rate exposures on equity asset markets

Jumah, Adusei; Kunst, Robert M. - 2001

This paper analyzes the relationship between stock returns and exchange rate changes in international markets and examines how well exchange rate volatility explains movements in stock market returns. The model-based predictions are evaluated on several cost functions. Results from such analysis...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724429

Tail-dependence in stock-return pairs

Fortin, Ines; Kuzmics, Christoph - 2002

The empirical joint distribution of return-pairs on stock indices displays high tail-dependence in the lower tail and low tail-dependence in the upper tail. The presence of tail-dependence is not compatible with the assumption of (conditional) joint normality. The presence of asymmetric-tail...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009725481

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