This paper exploits information contained in cross-sectional PEG ratios to extract estimates of the market's expectations for aggregate returns and economic fundamentals. By combining the loglinear present-valuation model and the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) logic, we establish a theoretic...

The biggest and most well-known unsolved problem in academic finance is famously referred to as the Equity Premium Puzzle. It refers to the unexplained phenomenon that for over 100 years the average return on a well-diversified portfolio of equities has far outperformed that of risk-free,...

We show in a simple framework that momentum trading can exist in equilibrium and momentum trading is profitable. Properties of the model fit the empirics well. First, the model captures in a parsimonious manner both short-term overreaction and long-term reversals. Second, it predicts that...

We show that there is strong commonality in the volatility of a wide range of diversified equity portfolios. Common factor volatility (CFV) exists even when factor or anomaly returns are market-adjusted and does not appear to be attributable to common microstructure noise or a lack of...

The study explores a relationship between divergence in ESG scores (measurements of a company's performance in environmental, social and governance issues) and excess stock returns on the European equity market. The sample consists of 851 European stocks in the period from January 2015 to May...

I find both U.S. and international evidence that aggregate corporate cash savings strongly negatively predict future excess market returns. In the U.S. stock market, market timing based on aggregate cash savings yields annual returns 2.55% higher than an all-equity-all-the-time strategy. The...

While many studies have looked into the determinants of yields on externally issued sovereign bonds of emerging economies, analysis of domestically issued bonds has hitherto been limited, despite their growing relevance. This paper finds that the extent to which fiscal variables affect domestic...

The author offers a model which allows to count up the size of the coupon of bonds. The basic maintenance of the model is: "The dependence of the average annual demanded yield of subfederal bonds on the solvency coefficient of the government body-issuer of these bonds could be depicted by a...

We investigate the impact of local and global macroeconomic factors on Eurobonds and local currency issued bonds in Sub-Saharan Africa, at different points on the yield curve. Using a unique proprietary data set collected from local authorities, central banks and independent international...

We study the role of sovereign debt for equity returns in the Covid-19 pandemic. Using individual stock-level data of more than 25,000 firms in more than 80 countries, we exploit variation in debt-to-GDP in narrowly defined industries and geographical regions. Following the outbreak of the...