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Using monthly data from seven mature and emerging markets and GARCH and EGARCH models, the study of Davis and Kutan (Applied Financial Economics, 13, 693-700, 2003) on inflation and output on stock returns and volatility is extended by including interest rate to compare the effect between three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143522
) recessions, international political crises, country risk, and uncertainty related to government policies. While we find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948384
This study examines the relationship between excess return volatility and economic policy uncertainty in U.S using monthly data for the period 1985-2011. The result reveals the existence of a long-run positive relationship between excess return volatility and economic policy uncertainty. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104851
This paper investigates how stock market returns respond to economic policy uncertainty shocks. Based on the vector autoregression (VAR) analysis of the monthly changes in economic policy uncertainty index in the United States and CRSP value-weighted index from 1985:M2 to 2012:M6, the results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090887
We examine time-varying correlations among stock market returns, implied volatility and policy uncertainty. Our findings suggest that correlations are indeed time-varying and sensitive to oil demand shocks and US recessions
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058577
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This paper describes results from a new experiment studying determinants and effects of economic risk-taking. In each … higher are the returns but also the higher is the risk of a crash and a loss. This setup permits us to investigate how … transparency and incentive structures – two issues intensively debated in policy circles – affect risk taking and vulnerability to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968931
We show that decomposing macroeconomic risks across horizon is key to uncover a tight link between risk premia and the … that long-term growth and volatility capture largely common risk. We then propose a single, long-term, macroeconomic risk … factor which drives out standard long-run risk measures and performs similar to the Fama-French three-factor model in cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972571
and 4 years is effective in explaining the differences in risk premia across alternative test assets, including recently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856904