Showing 1 - 10 of 2,979
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010389083
This experimental paper investigates the impact of emotions on risk and return estimates of stocks. Participants rate well-known blue-chip firms on an emotional scale and forecast risk and return of the firms' stock. We find that positive emotions lead to a prediction of high return and low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003919373
Stocks with high uncertainty about risk, as measured by the volatility of volatility (vol-of-vol), robustly … underperform stocks with low uncertainty about risk by 10 percent per year. This vol-of-vol effect is distinct from (combinations … that uncertainty about risk is highly relevant for stock prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066398
This paper studies the relation between the uncertainty of volatility, measured as the volatility of volatility, and … future delta-hedged equity option returns. We find that delta-hedged option returns consistently decrease in uncertainty of … option dealers charge a higher premium for single-name options with high uncertainty of volatility, because these stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899316
forecasting accuracy significantly. Higher uncertainty is found to increase the leverage and macro effects from credit and … commodity markets on stock market realized volatility. Specifically, Economic Policy Uncertainty is shown to be one of the main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158736
This paper investigates empirically the dynamics of investors' beliefs and Bayesian uncertainty about the state of the … economy as state variables that describe the time-variation in investment opportunities. Using measures of uncertainty … aggregate output, I find a negative relationship between the level of uncertainty and asset valuations. This relationship shows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149939
This paper describes results from a new experiment studying determinants and effects of economic risk-taking. In each session four subjects choose three slots for ice fishing on their portion of a frozen lake. The farther out on the lake the higher are the returns but also the higher is the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968931
Most textbook finance literature assumes risk to be the standard deviation of returns (volatility), which is not only used by academics but also financial advisors, regulators and more. This paper comprehensively examines whether volatility is consistent with investors’ actual perception of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246351
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009313088
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009426775