Showing 1 - 10 of 8,811
underlying stock (asset) is subject to discontinuous market regime type of shifts in its mean or volatility whose risk can be … risk are priced in option markets. The results of the paper clearly indicate that stock market regime shifts constitute … significant sources of risk which are priced in option markets. Ignoring these sources of risks will lead to significant option …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130931
dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's ambiguity aversion to match only the first moment of the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756113
dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's ambiguity aversion to match only the first moment of the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994544
We merge the literature on downside return risk and liquidity risk and introduce the concept of extreme downside … same time when the market liquidity (return) is lowest. This effect is not driven by linear or downside liquidity risk or … extreme downside return risk and is mainly driven by more recent years. There is no premium for stocks whose liquidity is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175486
Market clichés assert that markets take escalators up and elevators down. The observation suggests differentiating models for up and down moves. Non-diffusive models allow for this and we model the move as the difference of two independent mean reverting increasing processes driven by gamma...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959879
A time homogeneous, purely discontinuous, parsimonous Markov martingale model is proposed for the risk neutral dynamics … additionally reported. It is observed that risk neutral dynamics by and large reflect the presence of momentum in numerous … probabilities. However, there is some reversion in the upper quantiles of risk neutral return distributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064149
based on introducing stochastic idiosyncratic cash flow risk into an equity valuation model of firms with growth options …. Within our model, a firm's systematic risk depends on the delta of its growth option. The growth option's delta is lower when … idiosyncratic volatility rises, driving down the firm's systematic risk and hence its expected return - firms with higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007739
We propose a novel measure of the ex-ante commodity downside-risk premium (CDP) for each commodity based on a term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239736
This paper presents a new robust predictor for option returns: the uncertainty of put-call parity violation (VVS). We find that the delta-hedged equity option return decreases monotonically with VVS. Although VVS is highly correlated with the classical uncertainty and limit-to-arbitrage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403606
risk premia that vary substantially over time and significantly forecast crude oil futures and spot returns. Oil futures … aggregate outcomes. However, the option-implied tail risk premia are not spanned by traditional macroeconomic and oil market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778000