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forecast nonlinear ARMA model based simulated data and real data of financial returns. The forecasting ability of the recurrent …, recurrent artificial neural network based ARMA model and feed-forward SVR based ARMA model) by using two forecasting accuracy … evaluation metrics (NSME and sign) and robust Diebold–Mariano test. The results reveal that for one-step-ahead forecasting, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997751
topological stock market changes as well as the incorporation of these topological changes into forecasting realized volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014514075
explain risk premium. Investigating whether these factors are useful in forecasting stock returns remains active research in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235825
innovative approach towards forecasting based on Neural Nets and high frequency stock market data to predict the next day's stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236213
Recurrent Support Vector Regression for a Nonlinear ARMA Model with Applications to Forecasting Financial Returns … to forecast nonlinear ARMA model based simulated data and real data of financial returns. The forecasting ability of the … focus on fit in-sample, but SVR considers both fit and forecast out-of-sample which endows SVR with an excellent forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770766
Forecasting the stock returns in the emerging markets is challenging due to their peculiar characteristics. These … markets exhibit linear as well as nonlinear features and Conventional forecasting methods partially succeed in dealing with … which caters both the linear and nonlinear markets. This paper investigates the forecasting ability of ANN by using Fama and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175006
In this paper we apply cointegration and Granger-causality analyses to construct linear and neural network error-correction models for an Austrian Initial Public Offerings IndeX (IPOXATX). We use the significant relationship between the IPOXATX and the Austrian Stock Market Index ATX to forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009696693
possible to be retrieved with the traditional econometric modelling. Furthermore we examine the forecasting performance of both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129200
Predictions of asset returns and volatilities are heavily discussed and analyzed in the finance research literature. In this paper, we compare linear and nonlinear predictions for stock- and bond index returns and their covariance matrix. We show in-sample and out-of-sample prediction accuracy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116144
Stock markets proved to be statistically predictable on an economically interesting scale over the past decade by fully data driven automatically constructed maps that associate to a set of new factor values a return prediction that is the average of historically observed returns for an area in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118137