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The detrended implied volatility of commodity options (VOL) forecasts the cross section of the commodity futures returns significantly. A zero-cost strategy that is long in low VOL and short in high VOL commodities yields an annualized return of 12.66% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.69. Notably, the...
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-of-sample analysis with ten commodities and a stock index using the classical tangency mean-variance model and the maximum Omega ratio …
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