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Long-horizon predictability is not a myth. We propose a new analytical standard error for predictive regressions that does not impose the null hypothesis that returns are unpredictable and exhibits substantial power gains relative to popular tests. Deriving the covariance matrix under the...
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Winner stocks have higher risk exposure to Fama and French's (1993) three factors (FF3F) than loser stocks during good economic times, and therefore should earn higher expected returns. Employing the conditional FF3F model to risk adjust returns on winner and loser stocks can reduce the average...
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This study finds that market's underreaction to good news is a driver of Gutierrez and Kelly's (2008) weekly momentum returns. By employing a dataset of 10.1 million news items in four regions (the U.S., Europe, Japan, and Asia Pacific), we find that stocks having important and positive news...
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We explore the impact of delisting on the performance of the momentum trading strategy in Australia. We employ a new dataset of hand-collected delisting returns for all Australian stocks and provide the first study outside the U.S. to jointly examine the effects of delisting and missing returns...
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