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corporate bond yield changes and stock returns should be informative about firm level default risk of this corporate debt. In … estimate the contemporaneous correlation between firm level corporate bond yield changes and stock returns using daily data … evidence that as the stock-bond correlations increase in absolute value, the default risks of bonds increase, as expected. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139782
A bond's expected return (EBR) is the ex-ante internal rate of return of the bond's expected future cash flows, whereas … a bond's yield to maturity (YTM) is the internal rate of return of its promised future cash flows. In this paper we … the model to U.S. corporate bond data, using rating transition matrices and industry-specific recovery rates. We show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061524
, as trading noise, dampens firm-specific information incorporated into bond prices. We find a negative relation between … bond illiquidity and synchronicity, and this empirical relation remains after applying robustness checks and endogeneity … controls. Consistent with theoretical model implications, the effect of bond illiquidity as information friction is more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828305
analyst coverage links documented in the literature. The cross-return predictability is not significant in the bond market … response to news regarding bond-linked peer firms. Overall, our results are consistent with limited investor attention due to … market segmentation between the equity and bond markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295444
We present a discrete time model of expected bond returns (EBR). These are ex-ante expectations implied by the market … prices and the data set available when bond prices are quoted. The model can be used to estimate the rating-adjusted EBR, its … implement the model using corporate bond transaction data from the United States and a rating agency transition matrix to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095058
A small but ambitious literature uses affine arbitrage-free models to estimate jointly U.S. Treasury term premiums and the term structure of equity risk premiums. Within this approach, this paper identifies the parameter restrictions that are consistent with a simple dividend discount model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222892
This paper investigates whether ETF returns lead the returns of underlying bonds and similar style bond funds. Bond … predicted, we find that ETF returns predict its own NAV returns and aggregated ETF returns for each bond also predict the … underlying bond returns on a monthly basis. We show that bond liquidity is the determining factor of the predictability and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837666
This paper is the first to analyze and value early exercises of Individual Investors in fixed-income investment products. Assuming decision and transaction costs we consider that a continuous decision-making on holding or exercising is not optimal anymore and propose a new approach to modeling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937780
A small but ambitious literature uses affine arbitrage-free models to estimate jointly U.S. Treasury term premiums and the term structure of equity risk premiums. Within this approach, this paper identifies the parameter restrictions that are consistent with a simple dividend discount model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061074
realized defaults. Furthermore, it predicts future equity and corporate bond returns, even after controlling for many existing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011810905