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construction of reliablesemi-parametric estimates of the risk associated with extreme pricemovements. Our approach is based on semi …
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The paper develops a tail risk forecasting model that incorporates the wealth of economic and financial information … available to risk managers. The approach can be viewed as a regularized extension of the two-stage GARCH-EVT model of McNeil and … extreme value distribution of risk. We use a rich data set from the US equity market to explore when this additional …
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