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Compared with stocks, bonds are more directly affected by fluctuations in oil prices through the expected inflation … shocks predict negative real bond risk premium and positive inflation risk premium. Since these two effects offset each other … bond yield, breakeven inflation, and nominal bond yield respond differently to oil supply and demand shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900206
We study risk premium in US Treasury bonds. We decompose Treasury yields into inflation expectations and maturity …-specific interest rate cycles, which we define as variation in yields orthogonal to expected inflation. The short-maturity cycle … captures the real short-rate dynamics. Jointly with expected inflation, it comprises the expectations hypothesis (EH) term in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038447
short-term interest rate, inflation, the growth of industrial production, and the government debt ratio. The results show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822528
short-term interest rate, inflation, the growth of industrial production, and the government debt ratio. The results show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291941
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012590876
that the relative equity and bond yield values are, to a large extent, driven by inflation volatility. High inflation … benign inflation volatility when the bond yield became higher. Evidence for a long span of US data, and shorter German …, Japanese, and UK data, suggests the recent rise in the equity yield is accompanied by an uptick in inflation volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963922
real and nominal risk premia through endogenous inflation. The estimated model captures macroeconomic and yield curve … properties of the U.S. economy, implying significantly positive real term and inflation risk bond premia. Both premia are induced … by wage rigidities as a compensation for permanent productivity shocks. Stronger policy-rule responses to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032008
and implied volatility of T-bonds and survey forecasts of GDP growth and inflation. We find relatively stable inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877284
variables, such as consumer price inflation, the growth of industrial production, the stock price index, the exchange rate of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014517317
by modelling the time-varying dynamics of asset returns and inflation, and then estimating the cost of hedging in ation … inflation risks are not necessarily reduced with the inclusion of real estate assets in the minimum variance portfolio. Our … investors for holding the less attractive inflation-linked debt asset. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241109