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implications for exchange rates, volatility, returns to currency investing, and transaction costs. This blow-by-blowʺ narrative is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861767
obtained from discrete time models by comparing them with high-frequency ex post estimates (e.g. realised volatility) based on … illustration provides an example of where an explanatory model outperforms realised volatility ex post. -- Financial variability … ; financial volatility ; forecasting ; explanatory modelling ; exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003829997
A practice that has become widespread is that of comparing forecasts of financial return variability obtained from discrete time models against high frequency estimates based on continuous time theory. In explanatory financial return variability modelling this raises several methodological and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132293
The study analyses the interaction between the trading behaviour of 1,024 moving average and momentum models and the fluctuations of the yen-dollar exchange rate. I show first that these models would have exploited exchange rate trends quite profitably between 1976 and 2007. I then show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135725
This paper explores the influence of the foreign exchange rates variation on the returns and volatility of the stock … influenced not only the stock returns but also their volatility. However, between March 2010 and December 2012 the impact of the … exchange rates variation on the returns and volatility of the stock prices depended on the factors such as the foreign capitals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083322
The key objective of this study is to investigate the return and volatility spillover effects among stock market … trivariate VAR BEKK GARCH (1,1) model, the study finds that there are significant return and volatility spillover effects between … and the US stock market to the Korean stock market, and the volatility spillover effect from the Japanese stock market to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003256
We develop an empirical model of exchange rate returns, applied separately to samples of developed (DM) and developing (EM) economies' currencies against the dollar. Monetary policy stance of the global central banks, measured via a natural-language-based approach, has a large effect on exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850036
We find a robust negative effect of exchange rate volatility on S&P500 company returns. The Consumer Discretionary and … the Consumer Staple sectors have more significant negative exposure to exchange rate volatility than the other sectors … thus supporting the hypothesis that exchange rate volatility affects stock returns through the channel of international …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049029
, namely: sensitivity of stock returns to exchange rate changes; sensitivity of volatility of stock returns to volatility of … its asymmetric conditional volatility of exchange rate exposure. In addition, returns in many sectors are correlated with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051554
This article identifies the best models for forecasting the volatility of daily exchange returns of developing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058579