This paper examines the predictive power of the U.S. term structure over return volatility in emerging stock markets … show that the U.S. term structure indeed contains predictive information over emerging stock market volatility, even after … volatility compared to the maturity premium component of the yield spread. We also find that the U.S. term structure has gained …

of the volatility spread to skewness. We measure skewness from option prices and test these predictions. We find that … conditioning on skewness increases the predictive power of the volatility spread and that coefficient estimates accord with theory … the term structure of option-implied volatility, skewness and kurtosis and find that time-dependence in returns has a …