Showing 1 - 10 of 17,251
We introduce a discrete-time model for log-return dynamics with observable volatility and jumps. Our proposal extends … the class of Realized Volatility heterogeneous auto-regressive gamma (HARG) processes adding a jump component with time … compensating for equity, volatility, and jump risks, the generating function under the risk-neutral measure inherits analytical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904165
We propose a novel factor model for option returns. Option exposures are estimated nonparametrically and factor risk premia can vary nonlinearly with states. The model is estimated using regressions, with minimal assumptions on factor and option return dynamics. Using index options, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213854
This paper provides empirical evidence that volatility markets are integrated through the time-varying term structure … of variance risk premia. These risk premia predict the returns from selling volatility for different horizons, maturities … significance from the no-arbitrage prices and bounds implied by the variance swap market. The paper examines these pricing errors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904683
straddles; second, we estimate the PVR in a Heston (1993) stochastic-volatility model. In both cases, the estimation is … more negative and its term structure is steeper when volatility is high. These findings are inconsistent with calibrations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303715
The recent literature provides conflicting empirical evidence on the pricing of idiosyncratic risk. This paper sheds new light on the matter by exploiting the richness of option data. First, we find that idiosyncratic risk explains 28% of the variation in the risk premium on a stock. Second, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936071
information set for the estimation of the empirical pricing kernel and, more in general, for the validity of the fundamental …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506352
between stock returns and idiosyncratic return volatility at the firm level. By allowing for the volatility of the underlying … idiosyncratic choice variables to exhibit independent switches between a high and low volatility regime, we show that the options …' constant expected returns are composed of (i) a state dependent drift term that relates positively with the volatility regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109188
heteroskedastic processes with fat-tailed innovations in returns and volatility. We provide a tractable risk neutralization framework … estimated with ease on returns using standard maximum likelihood techniques, and joint estimation on returns and a large sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062019
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
swap rates, and the slope of the variance swap curve. To measure risk premia, we estimate a dynamic term structure model … that decomposes variance swap rates into expected variances and term premia. Empirically, we document a strong global … hypothesis that financial intermediaries are marginal investors in the variance swap market. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523781