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real estate bubble burst, credit crunch and banking panics. As a response, extreme value theory (EVT) provides a set of …
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We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
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apply extreme value theory (EVT) distributions to predict extreme losses of five South African (SA) financial times stock …
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