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This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high frequency asset prices in the presence of diurnal variance patterns, jumps, leverage effects and microstructure noise. We rely on parametric and nonparametric methods. The estimated spot variance path can be used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379469
This paper proposes a methodology for modelling time series of realized covariance matrices in order to forecast multivariate risks. The approach allows for flexible dynamic dependence patterns and guarantees positive definiteness of the resulting forecasts without imposing parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003876903
We propose a new class of observation-driven time-varying parameter models for dynamic volatilities and correlations to handle time series from heavy-tailed distributions. The model adopts generalized autoregressive score dynamics to obtain a time-varying covariance matrix of the multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380135
In this paper, we propose a model based on multivariate decomposition of multiplicative - absolute values and signs - components of several returns. In the m-variate case, the marginals for the m absolute values and the binary marginals for the m directions are linked through a 2m-dimensional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313230
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720703
We propose a novel multivariate GARCH model that incorporates realized measures for the variance matrix of returns. The key novelty is the joint formulation of a multivariate dynamic model for outer-products of returns, realized variances and realized covariances. The updating of the variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
We propose a new class of observation-driven time-varying parameter models for dynamic volatilities and correlations to handle time series from heavy-tailed distributions. The model adopts generalized autoregressive score dynamics to obtain a time-varying covariance matrix of the multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146598
This paper proposes a new class of multivariate volatility model that utilising high-frequency data. We call this model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009351
in stock return volatility using traditional time and spectral domain estimators of long memory. The definitive ubiquity … and existence of long memory in the volatility of stock returns is an established stylized fact. The presence of long … long memory in the Indian stock returns and returns volatility. We find the presence of long memory in the volatility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920334
We present a new model to decompose total daily return volatility into a filtered (high-frequency based) open …-to-close volatility and a time-varying scaling factor. We use score-driven dynamics based on fat-tailed distributions to limit the impact …-to-close volatility changes substantially through time, especially for financial stocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012056853