When is the best time to invest in the stock market? The paper analyzes the best and worst investment periods for each of the twelve months as well as 41 countries and 3 global regions. The paper provides an international perspective to Yale Hirsch's analysis of the United States' stock market....

This study examines how terrorist attacks affect stock returns, the differences in the reaction of stock returns among different sectors and the differences in the reaction among different stock markets. The study focuses on the terrorist attacks that took place in New York City (NYC) on 11...

The coronavirus pandemic in 2020 was the most devastating worldwide health threat since the 1918-1919 Spanish flu. Panel regression analysis for ten countries suggests that European and US stock markets reacted significantly, and negatively, to the surging death rates that were seen during the...

This paper explores the risks and returns to currency speculation during the 1920s and 1930s. We study the performance of two well-known technical trading strategies (carry and momentum) and compare them with that of a fundamentals-based trader: John Maynard Keynes. Technical strategies were...

We investigate the link between the rule of law and equity returns in post-transitional economies over the period January 2010-December 2020 by using panel data regressions. By applying several rule- of-law proxies for national legal frameworks and justice system quality as proxies for the...

This paper builds on the recent debate on the in-sample and out-of-sample predictability of US aggregate returns using a wide range of predictors by providing new evidence for smaller and less market-oriented European countries. We find evidence that macro and technical predictors can...

We examine intra-market return comovement within each of 33 economies' stock exchanges from 1995 through 2013 using a model-free comovement gauge. We find that the stability of international macroeconomic trilemma policies, the number of crises, and the extent of turnover overshadow the...

Most of the currency literature investigates the risk and return characteristics of the currency carry trade after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. In order to gauge the long-term currency carry premium, we extend the sample to 20 currencies over the period 1900 to 2012. We find modest...

The class of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GARCH) models has proved particularly valuable in modelling time series with time varying volatility. These include financial data, which can be particularly heavy tailed.This paper investigates the time-series behavior of...

Interest rate changes typically affect the value of equities. However, the slow movement of investment capital may delay the transmission of this information from interest rate markets to stocks. Using a century of data from sixty countries, we demonstrate that yield curve shifts predict future...