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Empirically, standard, intuitive measures of risk like volatility and beta do not generate a positive correlation with average returns in most asset classes. It is possible that risk, however defined, is not positively related to return as an equilibrium in asset markets. This paper presents a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134606
An analysis of the Survey of Consumer Finance shows that wealthy investors have a higher return on their stocks than their poorer counterparts. Three key empirical facts emerge: (i) wealthy investors employ more productive search efforts, (ii) financial risk bearing and search efforts are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238155
How does memory shape individuals' financial decisions? We find experimental evidence of a self-serving memory bias. Subjects over-remember their own positive investment outcomes and under-remember negative ones. In contrast, subjects who did not invest but merely observed outcomes do not have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849930
This paper examines the validity of the risk-return trade-off for a sample of Czech banks over the period 2002-2022 by analysing the relationship between the bank risk and risk-adjusted returns. I find evidence of a significant negative association between the regulatory risk measure and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014555768
Investors' belief updating differs for investments in a gain position versus those in a loss position and by the favorability of the news, leading to a anomalies in investment decisions. We propose a context-sensitive reinforcement learning model unifying these empirical findings. In a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491946
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014248274
This paper documents that factors extracted from a large set of macroeconomic variables bear useful information for predicting monthly US excess stock returns and volatility over the period 1980-2005. Factor-augmented predictive regression models improve upon both benchmark models that only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326025
We examine international stock return comovements using country-industry and country-style portfolios as the base portfolios. We first establish that parsimonious risk-based factor models capture the covariance structure of the data better than the popular Heston- ouwenhorst (1994) model. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604977
We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovement and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We identify the economic factors employing structural and non-structural vector autoregressive models for economic state variables such as interest rates, (expected) inflation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506640
A great proportion of stock dynamics can be explained using publicly available information. The relationship between dynamics and public information may be of nonlinear character. In this paper we offer an approach to stock picking by employing so-called decision trees and applying them to XETRA...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636039