This paper takes a new approach to examine whether investors extrapolate from past returns to form expectations about future stock returns. Unlike prior research that relies on experiments or surveys to derive investors' expectations, we estimate expected returns directly from stock prices, the...

This study explores the distress risk anomaly — the tendency for stocks with high credit risk to perform poorly — among 38 countries over two decades. We find a strong, negative link between default probabilities and equity returns, concentrated among low-capitalization stocks in developed...

Analysts follow disproportionally firms whose fundamentals correlate more with those of their industry peers. This coverage pattern supports models of profit-maximizing information intermediaries producing preferentially information valuable in pricing more stocks. We designate highly followed...

This paper examines the funding liquidity faced by hedge funds and the resulting implication for stocks' excess return co-movement. We find that hedge fund ownership tends to induce a higher stocks' return co-movement with each other, compared to other institutional investors like mutual funds...

According to the dynamic version of the Gordon growth model, the long-run expected return on stocks, stock yield, is the sum of the dividend yield on stocks plus some weighted average of expected future growth rates in dividends. We construct a measure of stock yield based on sell-side analysts'...

According to the dynamic version of the Gordon growth model, the long-run expected return on stocks, stock yield, is the sum of the dividend yield on stocks plus some weighted average of expected future growth rates in dividends. We construct a measure of stock yield as a model-imposed affine...

We examine information spillover as a source of stock return synchronicity, where information about highly-followed "prominent" stocks is used to price other "neglected" stocks sharing a common fundamental component. We find that stocks followed by few analysts co-move significantly with...

We examine information spillover as a source of stock return synchronicity, where information about highly-followed "prominent" stocks is used to price other "neglected" stocks sharing a common fundamental component. We find that stocks followed by few analysts co-move significantly with...