Stock returns around acquisition announcements are widely viewed as being reflective of the net present value created by these transactions. As such, announcement returns should correlate with acquisition outcomes. Using a new measure of realized transaction-level acquisition failure, as well as...

We find, in a sample of 7,581 merger offer announcements from 1990 to 2013, shareholders of 1,283 (or 17%) target firms responded to the offer with negative market returns. These investors were disappointed at the offer, despite the price premium. To explain their disappointment, one must...

We introduce a non-linear pricing model of individual stock returns that defines a ”stickiness” parameter of the returns. The pricing model resembles the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) used in finance but has a non-linear component inspired from models of earth quake tectonic plate...

You're probably familiar, at least in passing, with the 'convexity' of long-term bonds - i.e. that yields dropping 1% produce a bigger price move than yields rising 1%. A significant amount of brainpower has gone into understanding all the ramifications of this convexity in the fixed income...

We re-examine the puzzling pattern of lead-lag returns among economically linked firms. Our results show these patterns are driven largely by investors' tendency to ignore information that arrives continuously in small amounts. In contrast, when information with the same cumulative returns...

This paper analyzes three aspects of over-the-counter (OTC) stocks: (1) the recent trends in the OTC stock market structure and size; (2) the documented properties of OTC stocks; and (3) the differences in returns based on investor and stock characteristics. Approximately 10,000 OTC stocks were...

We examine whether initial returns influence investors' decisions to return to the stock market following withdrawal. Using a survival analysis technique to estimate Finnish retail investors' likelihood of stock market re-entry reveals that investors who experience lower initial returns are less...

We examine whether investors efficiently incorporate the effect of financial sector shocks into the equity prices of non-financial firms. Shocks to the financial sector are complex macroeconomic events affecting many firms to varying degrees. Prices may adjust slowly in response to financial...

Stock prices are generally governed by rational inputs and irrationality in the market can cause only daily, weekly and short run fluctuations. While irrationality takes prices away from its intrinsic value, rationality brings it back. Contrarian investment strategy is followed under the...

This paper examines the temporal relationship between sin stocks and investor sentiment using vector autoregressive models. It decomposes sin returns into a market-based and pure sin component and then performs dynamic statistical modeling on the pure sin portfolio. Next, it attempts to...