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A common prediction of macroeconomic models of credit market frictions is that the tightness of financial constraints is countercyclical. As a result, theory implies a negative collateralizability premium; that is, capital that can be used as collateral to relax financial constraints provides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012113782
New empirical facts show that equity term premium is counter-cyclical, while the term structure of equity yield is pro-cyclical and switches sign between expansions and recessions. We decompose the term structure of equity yield into an equity term premium and a mean reversion component about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847463
In this study we highlight the importance of liquidity risk, especially in periods of market stress, and advocate in favour of an explicit consideration of a liquidity premium when using mark-to-model methodologies to value financial assets.For European corporate bonds, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131254
In this paper we study empirically the implications of macroeconomic disagreement for the time variation in bond market risk premia. If there is a source of heterogeneity in the belief structure of the economy then differences in beliefs can affect equilibrium asset prices, and the dynamics of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038117
I provide new evidence that incomplete consumption risk sharing across countries is an important determinant of carry trade returns. I show that there is a strong co-movement in idiosyncratic volatilities over time, and that shocks to the common idiosyncratic volatility (CIV) factor, defined as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352064
We hypothesize that local economic discomfort influences investors’ risk aversion, leading to cross-sectional variation in risk premia in segmented equity markets. To test this assertion, we employ the misery index (MI)—which aggregates both unemployment and inflation rates—as a gauge of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014258484
We compare the implications of speculation versus hedging channels for bond markets in heterogeneous agents’ economies. Treasuries command a significant risk premium when optimistic agents speculate by leveraging their positions using bonds. Disagreement drives a wedge between marginal agent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354043
This study examined the determinants of stock returns for the emerging market of Kenya: The Nairobi Securities Exchange. The specific objectives were to establish if certain selected macroeconomic variables affect stock prices in Kenya, to examine the validity of the Capital Asset Pricing Model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869055
This paper provides evidence regarding the performance of momentum investment strategies that is consistent with neoclassical theory. More specifically, while momentum investment returns appear orthogonal to systematic risk in the extant literature, this paper illustrates that they due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000913
The term "carry" has been primarily studied and explored within currency markets where, contrary to the uncovered interest rate parity, borrowing from a low interest rate country and investing in a high interest rate country has historically delivered positive and statistically significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956302