Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 6,249
Cover Image
A New Anomaly : The Cross-Sectional Profitability of Technical Analysis
Han, Yufeng - 2012
In this paper, we document that an application of a moving average strategy of technical analysis to portfolios sorted by volatility generates investment timing portfolios that often outperform the buy-and-hold strategy substantially. For high volatility portfolios, the abnormal returns,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115819
Cover Image
Noise, Beliefs, and Momentum
Jordan, Steven J. - 2013
We show in a simple framework that momentum trading can exist in equilibrium and momentum trading is profitable. Properties of the model fit the empirics well. First, the model captures in a parsimonious manner both short-term overreaction and long-term reversals. Second, it predicts that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089438
Cover Image
Principal portfolios
Kelly, Bryan T.; Malamud, Semyon; Pedersen, Lasse Heje - 2020 - This version: June 8, 2020
We propose a new asset-pricing framework in which all securities' signals are used to predict each individual return. While the literature focuses on each security's own- signal predictability, assuming an equal strength across securities, our framework is flexible and includes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271188
Cover Image
Complexity in Factor Pricing Models
Didisheim, Antoine; Ke, Shikun; Kelly, Bryan T.; … - 2023
We theoretically characterize the behavior of machine learning asset pricing models. We prove that expected out-of-sample model performance—in terms of SDF Sharpe ratio and average pricing errors—is improving in model parameterization (or “complexity”). Our results predict that the best...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254198
Cover Image
Comment on 'The Virtue of Complexity in Return Prediction'
Berk, Jonathan - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355380
Cover Image
Bidirectional relationship between investor sentiment and excess returns : new evidence from the wavelet perspective
Marczak, Martyna; Beissinger, Thomas - 2015
This paper sheds new light on the mutual relationship between investor sentiment and excess returns corresponding to the bubble component of stock prices. We propose to use the wavelet concept of the phase angle to determine the lead-lag relation between these variables. The wavelet phase angle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011325814
Cover Image
Speculative Bubbles and the Cross-Sectional Variation in Stock Returns
Anderson, Keith P. - 2013
Evidence suggests that rational, periodically collapsing speculative bubbles may be pervasive in stock markets globally … asset pricing model that allows for speculative bubbles to affect stock returns. We show that stocks incorporating larger … bubbles yield higher returns. The bubble deviation, at the stock level as opposed to the industry or market level, is a priced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089654
Cover Image
Expected Returns Independent Allocations
Susinno, Gabriele - 2015
Present market instabilities have prompted great interest on the characteristics of specific portfolios such as minimum variance and equally- weighted risk contribution portfolios as these portfolios do not rely on the estimate of expected returns. Indeed, in turmoil periods traditional market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018612
Cover Image
A Rational Asset Pricing Model for Premiums and Discounts on Closed-End Funds : The Bubble Theory
Jarrow, Robert A. - 2017
theory of asset price bubbles. This is a rational asset pricing model that is shown to be consistent with the existing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960808
Cover Image
On the bimodality of the distribution of the S&P 500’s distortion : empirical evidence and theoretical explanations
Schmitt, Noemi; Westerhoff, Frank H. - 2017
After showing that the distribution of the S&P 500's distortion, i.e. the log difference between its real stock market index and its real fundamental value, is bimodal, we demonstrate that agentbased financial market models may explain this puzzling observation. Within these models, speculators...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011595441