This paper attempts to identify how monetary policy shocks affect stock prices by using Mundell and Fleming's theory of the "Impossible Trinity". According to this theory, it is impossible to simultaneously have a fixed exchange rate, free capital movement (an absence of capital controls), and...

Previous research attributes long-run reversals to investor over-reaction or tax-motivated trading; we offer an alternative explanation based on aggregate funding conditions. Our evidence shows that prices rebound for stocks that have performed poorly over the past several years (Losers);...

This paper empirically investigates the following three questions: (i) Do stock returns respond to monetary policy shocks? (ii) Do stock returns alter the transmission mechanism of monetary policy? and (iii) Does monetary policy systematically react to stock returns? Existing research based on...

Since the dismantling of the Bretton Woods system, gold has delivered average return comparable to the average return delivered by the aggregate US stock market. This suggest that none of the growth and technological improvement gains accrued to the financiers. In the context of modern asset...

We examine if the risk premia of the size effect on equity REITs (EREITs) are time-varying by using GARCH models. We also investigate how macroeconomic factors affect the size premia. We reexamine the size effect by using Fama-French three-factor model to demonstrate that the size effect exists...

The size effect is alive well but visible only when the economy is in a high volatility regime. This result is robust across different sample periods and model specifications. Independent business cycle and volatility regimes are identified from bivariate regime switching models of the...

This paper aims to identify the effect of monetary policy shocks on stock prices through the lens of Mundell and Fleming's “Impossible Trinity” theory. Our identification strategy seeks to solve the simultaneity and omitted variable problems inherent in studies that focus on the effect of...

We present evidence of significant bias in event studies that investigate the effect of U.S. monetary policy on U.S. stock prices. To overcome this bias, we propose a new identification method based on the "Impossible Trinity" theory which argues that an economy with a fixed exchange rate and...

This paper analyzes the joint dynamic processes of macroeconomic and monetary variables and bond yields in China. We show that macroeconomic variables as well as monetary policy variables have a significant impact on two factors that capture the variation in yields. An increase in the inflation...

The biggest and most well-known unsolved problem in academic finance is famously referred to as the Equity Premium Puzzle. It refers to the unexplained phenomenon that for over 100 years the average return on a well-diversified portfolio of equities has far outperformed that of risk-free,...