Ahn, Jisu; Hwang, Injun; Kim, Baeho - 2022
This study finds that downside tail risk , estimated from Korean corporate bond market data, predicts the excess … returns of publicly listed investment-grade bonds. In addition to (normal) value at risk, estimated assuming a normal return … distribution, abnormal risk , defined as the portion of the downside risk that deviates from normality, is also significant for …