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In this paper, we assess the Value at Risk (VaR) prediction accuracy and efficiency of six ARCH-type models, six realized volatility models and two GARCH models augmented with realized volatility regressors. The α-th quantile of the innovation's distribution is estimated with the fully...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126884
to overestimate the number of jumps in yield spreads and puts the coherence of test results at risk. We formalize the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343097
jumps over a grid of thresholds and selects the optimal threshold at what we term the “take-off” point in the estimated … number of jumps. We show that this method consistently estimates the jumps and their indices as the sampling interval goes to … jumps and its ability to distinguish between true jumps and large diffusive moves. In one of these Monte Carlo studies we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524214
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011920538
of factor jumps. Such jump dependence is implied by standard linear factor models. Our inference is based on a panel of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012042424
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011738476
jumps over a grid of thresholds and selects the optimal threshold at what we term the ‘take-off’ point in the estimated … number of jumps. We show that this method consistently estimates the jumps and their indices as the sampling interval goes to … jumps and its ability to distinguish between true jumps and large diffusive moves. In one of these Monte Carlo studies we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823308
This paper proposes a new class of multivariate volatility model that utilising high-frequency data. We call this model the DCC-HEAVY model as key ingredients are the Engle (2002) DCC model and Shephard and Sheppard (2012) HEAVY model. We discuss the models' dynamics and highlight their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009351
Realized covariance models specify the conditional expectation of a realized covariance matrix as a function of past realized covariance matrices through a GARCH-type structure. We compare the forecasting performance of several such models in terms of economic value, measured through economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014434629
assumptions of jumps in prices and leverage effects for volatility. Findings suggest that daily-data models are preferred to HF …-data models at 5% and 1% VaR level. Specifically, independently from the data frequency, allowing for jumps in price (or providing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674479