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In a calibrated consumption-portfolio model with stock, housing, and labor income predictability, we evaluate the welfare effects of predictability on life-cycle consumption-portfolio choice. We compare skilled investors who are able to take advantage of all sources of predictability with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936406
options in defined contribution retirement plans. We document large differences in realized TDF returns and risk profiles …, even for funds with the same target retirement date. Using fund-level data, we find evidence that this heterogeneity … reflects optimal risk-taking by fund families with low market share, especially those entering the market after 2006. Using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037083
This paper investigates whether multivariate crash risk (MCRASH), defined as exposure to extreme realizations of … returns than stocks with low MCRASH. The premium is not explained by linear factor exposures, alternative downside risk … measures or stock characteristics. Extending market-based definitions of crash risk to other well-established factors helps to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585546
We merge the literature on downside return risk and liquidity risk and introduce the concept of extreme downside … same time when the market liquidity (return) is lowest. This effect is not driven by linear or downside liquidity risk or … extreme downside return risk and is mainly driven by more recent years. There is no premium for stocks whose liquidity is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175486
This paper investigates whether multivariate crash risk is priced in the cross- section of expected stock returns …. Motivated by a theoretical asset pricing model, we capture the multivariate crash risk of a stock by a combined measure based on …. We find that stocks with a high exposure to joint crashes of the market and the momentum factor bear a risk premium which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993538
investment returns and risk, provide an attractive and effective alternative to traditional guaranteed life annuity products …. While longevity risk sharing in pooled annuities has received recent attention, incorporating investment risk beyond fixed …, while reducing pooled annuity income volatility and downside risk, as well as an investment strategy that reduces exposure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013363078
extensive number of robustness checks. Overall, downside cash flow risk is priced most consistently across different samples … ability. The downside cash flow risk premium is mainly attributable to small stocks. The risk premium for large stocks appears … much more driven by a compensation for symmetric, cash flow related risk. Finally, we multiply our premia estimates by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382429
Most textbook finance literature assumes risk to be the standard deviation of returns (volatility), which is not only … is consistent with investors’ actual perception of risk. Our method is presenting investors return distributions with … different risk characteristics for which they have to state their perceived risk and make investment decisions. Our results hint …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246351
I propose a consumption-based asset pricing model that jointly explains the high equity premium, the counter-cyclical behaviour of stock returns, the upward sloping term structure of interest rates and the downward sloping term structure of equity. The driving forces behind these results are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057031
dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's ambiguity aversion to match only the first moment of the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756113