Showing 1 - 10 of 16,456
volatility index (VIX) via a nonparametric copula method. Specifically, we propose a conditional dependence index to investigate … that the nonparametric leverage effect is much stronger than the nonparametric volatility feedback effect, although, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011857010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018353
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431370
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002841826
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001657476
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001650402
index returns. The proposed models capture key stylized facts of such returns, namely heavy tails, asymmetry, volatility … asymmetric. Volatility is modeled parametrically. The new model is applied to the daily returns of the S\&P 500, FTSE 100, and … EUROSTOXX 50 indices and is compared to GARCH, Stochastic Volatility, and other Bayesian semi-parametric models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092788
apply extreme value theory (EVT) distributions to predict extreme losses of five South African (SA) financial times stock … better distribution than the generalized extreme value (GEV) in estimating extreme loses and that the computation of economic … capital using Glue-value-at-risk (VaR) is more conservative than using other risk measures under the GEV distribution. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604174
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306029
During the past decades, seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) had become one of a prevalent linear models in time series and forecasting. Empirical research advocated that forecasting with non-linear models can be an encouraging alternative to traditional linear models....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508859