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We test the implications of anchoring bias associated with forecast earnings per share (FEPS) for forecast errors … more positive forecast revisions, more negative forecast errors, and more negative earnings surprises after a stock split …
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-year forecast error. Our findings in the Saudi financial market reveal a tendency for overreaction to positive prior-year earnings … change (good performance) and positive prior-year forecast errors (good surprise). Conversely, there is an underreaction to … the negative prior-year earnings change (bad performance) and negative prior-year forecast error (bad surprise). Notably …
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identifying an additional psychological bias that could potentially influence stock analysts' earnings estimates …
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risk premia. The extent of this bias is substantial as verified by a bootstrap approach. We present an alternative … estimation equation for future expected one-period returns based on current and past implied rates of return that is superior to … simple estimators based on historical returns. The reason for this superiority is a lower variance of estimation results and …
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before the actual earnings announcement. The second one is the optimistic bias channel. The optimistic bias channel means … that the stock is overpriced if the investors do not correct the analysts' bias. The self-selection is negatively … correlated with the stock return through the optimistic bias channel as more self-selection means more optimistic bias as low …
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