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This paper explores the volatility forecasting implications of a model in which the friction in high-frequency prices is related to the true underlying volatility. The contribution of this paper is to propose a framework under which the realized variance may improve volatility forecasting if the...
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We argue for incorporating the financial economics of market microstructure into the financial econometrics of asset … return volatility estimation. In particular, we use market microstructure theory to derive the cross-correlation function … informed conjectures as to improved volatility estimation methods. -- Realized Volatility ; Market Microstructure Theory ; High …
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