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We identify a component of monetary policy news that is extracted from high-frequency changes in risky asset prices. These surprises, which we call "risk shifts", are uncorrelated, and therefore complementary, to risk-free rate surprises. We show that (i) risk shifts capture the lion's share of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424574
We find that the FOMC-announcement-day return premium earned by a firm is positively related to the increase in its ex ante, option-implied skewness prior to the announcement. This finding is consistent with: (1) the existence of an announcement-day Fed put that is partially anticipated by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350063
Using a general equilibrium model with endogenous growth, I show that risk to human capital leads to a “Value” premium in equity returns. In particular, firms with relatively more firm-specific human capital or more positive covariance between asset growth and returns on human capital are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058208
We show that in a consumption-based asset-pricing model with hyperbolic discounting leading to dynamically inconsistent time preferences value premium increases nonlin-early with the degree of discounting and thus affects cross section of returns. To test our model empirically, we relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009751115
Average return differences among firms sorted on valuation ratios, past investment, prof-itability, market beta, or idiosyncratic volatility are largely driven by differences in exposures offirms to the same systematic factor related to embodied technology shocks. Using a calibratedstructural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940233
Dislocations occur when financial markets, operating under stressful conditions, experience large, widespread asset mispricings. This study documents systematic dislocations in world capital markets and the importance of their fluctuations for expected asset returns. Our novel, model-free...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093812
unemployment rate. In addition, factors provide information about bond risk premia variation that is largely unrelated to that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478516
Stock market makers are afraid that informed insiders will take advantage of them in trade. To protect themselves, they may increase the bid-offer spread to include a fee for the adverse selection risk . If set correctly, market makers will share in profits from others trading on private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007405
This paper studies the long-run risk embedded in the news about future investment-specific technology (IST). The IST news shock, which reflects future technological improvements in the production of investment goods such as computers, machines, and equipment, causes persistent future consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972792
Earnings announcements present a clear risk to investors and, under rational asset pricing theory, such risk should be consistently priced in stocks. However, we find that stocks with high earnings announcement risk earn significantly higher returns only during months when firms have earnings or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237378