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that monetary policy might be ineffective during periods of bubbles. In order to distinguish between the two explanations … specific to the stock market, making the theory of rational bubbles the prevailed explanation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010445
We extend the work of Bernanke and Kuttner (2005) by examining the impact of monetary shocks and policy tools on aggregate stock and bond returns as well as the stock returns of financial institutions during the recent period of Quantitative Easing (QE) in the U.S. Specially, we test for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959685
Do housing and equity booms significantly raise the probability of extremely bad outcomes at the margin? This study addresses this question for a group of 8 East Asian countries. The main findings are the following: (i) Asset price booms in housing and equity markets, either separately or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218887
This paper investigates the factors that affect the covariance between the federal funds rate and stock returns. I estimate a VAR system and implement covariance decomposition analysis. Most of the covariance between the federal funds rate and stock returns is affected by changes in stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125852
Discount rates affect stock prices directly via the discount-rate channel or indirectly via the cash-flow channel because expected future cash-flow growth varies with the discount rates. The traditional Macaulay duration captures the effect from the discount-rate channel. I propose a novel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851441
The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of monetary policy on equity returns by applying an alternative econometric approach. Campbell and Ammer (1993) decomposed unexpected equity excess returns into three news components: risk premium news, real interest rate news and cash-flow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012658788
A large literature uses high-frequency changes in interest rates around FOMC announcements to study monetary policy. These yield changes have puzzlingly low explanatory power for the stock market - even in a narrow 30-minute window. We propose a new approach to test whether the unexplained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236450
We examine the effects of the Asset Purchase Programme (APP) gradually introduced by the European Central Bank from September 2014 onwards. Studying the short-term reaction of financial markets after APP press releases, we analyse the development of bond yields and spreads around these releases....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011743065
We investigate the effects of U.S. monetary policy on asset prices using a high-frequency event-study analysis. We test whether these effects are adequately captured by a single factor - changes in the federal funds rate target - and find that they are not. Instead, we find that two factors are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014068038
We make three points. First, the decade before the financial crisis in 2007 was characterized by a collapse in the yield on TIPS. Second, estimated VARs for the federal funds rate and the TIPS yield show that while monetary policy shocks had negligible effects on the TIPS yield, shocks to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009298368