Showing 1 - 10 of 18,075
We derive a simple expression for the sensitivity of duration, convexity, and higher-order bond risk measures to … effects of term structure level, slope, and curvature shifts on any specific bond risk measure. These results are particularly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211994
We propose a novel approach to measure risk in fixed income portfolios in terms of value-at-risk (VaR). We use closed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077636
The links between real and nominal bond risk premia and macroeconomic dynamics are explored analytically and … real and nominal risk premia through endogenous inflation. The estimated model captures macroeconomic and yield curve … properties of the U.S. economy, implying significantly positive real term and inflation risk bond premia. Both premia are induced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032008
Recent findings on the term structure of equity and bond yields pose serious challenges to existing models of equilibrium asset pricing. This paper presents a new equilibrium model of subjective expectations to explain the joint historical dynamics of equity and bond yields (and their yield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013193433
Equilibrium bond-pricing models rely on inflation being bad news for future growth to generate upward-sloping nominal yield curves. We develop a model that can generate upward-sloping nominal and real yield curves by instead using ambiguity about inflation and growth. Ambiguity can help resolve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864574
regressions of bond excess returns significantly raises the R-squared, and restores countercyclical variation in bond risk premia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134247
I study the dynamics of default-free bond yields and term premia using a novel equilibrium term structure model with a New-Keynesian core and imperfect information about productivity. The model generates term premia that are on average positive with sizable countercyclical variation that arises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239105
I study the dynamics of default-free bond yields and term premia using a novel equilibrium term structure model with a New-Keynesian core and imperfect information about productivity. The model generates term premia that are on average positive with sizable countercyclical variation that arises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254949
I provide evidence that risks in macroeconomic fundamentals contain valuable information about bond risk premia. I … extract factors from a set of quantile-based risk measures estimated for US macroeconomic variables and document that they … unemployment rate. In addition, factors provide information about bond risk premia variation that is largely unrelated to that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478516
these events. Using theory and simulations we study the implications of the imminent threat of climate change on different … that lead to these assets becoming stranded. Our result suggest that climate change implies a positive and increasing risk … risk. Transition risks lower substantially the participation of carbon intensive assets in the market portfolio, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011962146