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asset's value upon observing the price, but only when the price clearly reveals that others obtained private information … that differs from their own private information. In particular, we assume that investors learn from the price of an asset … in an asymmetric manner--they learn from the price if they observe good (bad) private information and the price is worse …
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local relative to non-local investors, to measure local information advantages. An increase in this measure predicts higher …-adjustment models. And double-sorted analysis suggests that ARA imposes a much stronger influence on firms with worse information …
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This paper shows that in asset pricing the information environment gives rise to a systematic risk factor when the …
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information, average beliefs are not Bayesian: they underweight new information and positively predict subsequent belief errors …
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consistent with optimal learning theories that posit that individuals will place greater weight on new information in … environments with greater uncertainty, such as down markets, which implies that information will be reflected in asset prices more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096116
from other return-predictive information contained in the normalization scalars of analyst forecast dispersion measures. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974829
I hypothesize that the stock market overreacts to management earnings forecasts because of the uncertainty surrounding them. I find that negative management forecast surprises lead to a –5.9% abnormal return around the forecast and a 1.9% correction in the 2-month period after earnings are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063187