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In this paper, motivated by existing and growing evidence on multiple macroeconomic volatilities, we extend the long-run risks model of Bansal and Yaron (2004) by allowing both a long- and a short-run volatility components in the evolution of economic fundamentals. With this extension, the new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071174
The evolution of the yields of different maturities is related and can be described by a reduced number of commom latent factors. Multifactor interest rate models of the finance literature, common factor models of the time series literature and others use this property. Each model has advantages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012053243
We propose a class of time-separable and state-dependent preferences for asset pricing. In conjunction with the affine structure of the joint dynamics of state variables, aggregate consumption and dividend, an equilibrium model with these preferences yields closed-form solutions of bonds and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306448
Even if the name futures indicates a simple instrument, bond futures are complex. Several special features are embedded in the instrument. In particular the future is not written on one specific bond but on a basket of bonds, from which the short side can deliver the cheapest. This paper focuses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107119
This paper studies how inflation as a macroeconomic indicator affects nominal bond prices. I consider an economy with a representative agent with Epstein-Zin preferences. Regime switching affects the state-space capturing inêation and consumption growth. Thus, the agent is concerned about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322544
We estimate time-varying expected excess returns on the US stock market from 1983 to 2008 using a model that jointly captures the arbitrage-free dynamics of stock returns and nominal bond yields. The model nests the class of affine term structure (of interest rates) models. Stock returns and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605091
We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovement and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We identify the economic factors employing structural and non-structural vector autoregressive models for economic state variables such as interest rates, (expected) inflation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506640
We estimate time-varying expected excess returns on the US stock market from 1983 to 2008 using a model that jointly captures the arbitrage-free dynamics of stock returns and nominal bond yields. The model nests the class of affine term structure (of interest rates) models. Stock returns and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832616
We study the joint dynamics of macroeconomic variables, bond yields, and the exchange rate in an empirical two-country New-Keynesian model complemented with a no-arbitrage term structure model. With Canadian and US data, we are able to study the impact of macroeconomic shocks from both countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003462987
This paper studies how inflation as a macroeconomic indicator affects nominal bond prices. I consider an economy with a representative agent with Epstein- Zin preferences. Regime switching affects the state-space capturing in°ation and consumption growth. Thus, the agent is concerned about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008656729