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The paper examines the effect of exchange rate risk on the conditional relationship between beta risk and return in international equity markets from January 1978 through September 2004. We use an extension of the model introduced by Pettengill, Sundaran, and Mathur (PSM Model, 1995) and adapted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148458
In this paper, we study the effectiveness of carry trade strategies during and after the financial crisis using a flexible approach to modeling currency returns. We decompose the currency returns into multiplicative sign and absolute return components, which exhibit much greater predictability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313235
This paper provides an empirical investigation of the time-series predictive ability of foreign exchange risk measures on the return to the carry trade, a popular investment strategy that borrows in low-interest currencies and lends in high-interest currencies. Using quantile regressions, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066169
This article analyzes the impact of movements in the Australian dollar/Japanese yen (AUDJPY) and the Australian dollar/US dollar (AUDUSD) exchange rates on the returns of the Australian equities market. Specifically, this paper investigates the nature of exchange rate exposure across increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004304
We find a robust negative effect of exchange rate volatility on S&P500 company returns. The Consumer Discretionary and the Consumer Staple sectors have more significant negative exposure to exchange rate volatility than the other sectors thus supporting the hypothesis that exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049029
The use of conventional augmented CAPM specification in estimating the exchange rate exposure may result in less reliable estimates for, at least, two reasons. First, it does not take into account a few important stylized facts associated with financial time series. Second, one cannot estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051319
This paper uses time-varying second moments to investigate exchange rate exposure betas. Using a BEKK-GARCH(1,21)-M model, time-varying exchange rate exposure betas are obtained with explicit focus on the non-orthogonality between exchange rate changes and market returns. We look into certain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051472
This paper examines the adequacy of the exposure coefficient/beta in measuring the entire impact of exchange rate changes on firms' future operating cash flows. To this end, we investigate the presence of four elements of exchange rate exposure: (a) sensitivity of stock returns to exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051496
Dollar carry trade risk premiums – unlike dollar-neutral or foreign exchange carry risk premiums – are positively correlated with firm-level dispersions in investment, profitability, and book-to-market in addition to the Treasury-bill rate, long term bond yield, term spread, and default...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242629
This paper examines exchange rate exposure of country level stock returns in three emerging market economies: Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. The analysis is carried out at country level using stock indexes and trade-weighted exchange rates. Time-varying exchange rate exposure coefficients are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033258