Showing 1 - 10 of 11,155
This paper shows that the risk-bearing capacity of U.S. securities brokers and dealers is a strong determinant of risk premia in commodity markets. Commodity derivatives are the principal instrument used by producers and consumers of commodities to hedge against commodity price risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003947918
between stock returns and idiosyncratic return volatility at the firm level. By allowing for the volatility of the underlying … idiosyncratic choice variables to exhibit independent switches between a high and low volatility regime, we show that the options …' constant expected returns are composed of (i) a state dependent drift term that relates positively with the volatility regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109188
This paper estimates how the shape of the implied volatility smile and the size of the variance risk premium relate to … parameters of GARCH-type time-series models measuring how conditional volatility responds to return shocks. Markets in which … return shocks lead to large increases in conditional volatility tend to have larger variance risk premia than markets in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081387
Prior research documents that volatility spreads predict stock returns. If the trading activity of informed investors … is an important driver of volatility spreads, then the predictability of stock returns should be more pronounced during … major information events. This paper investigates whether the predictability of equity returns by volatility spreads is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039227
Speculators who wish to bet on higher future volatility often purchase options to “go long volatility.” Should … investors who buy options expect to profit when realized volatility increases? If so, under what conditions? To answer these … questions, we conduct an analysis of the relationship between long volatility performance (buying options) and contemporaneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911343
We show that idiosyncratic jumps are a key determinant of mean stock returns from both an ex post and ex ante perspective. Ex post, the entire annual average return of a typical stock accrues on the four days on which its stock price jumps. Ex ante, idiosyncratic jump risk earns a premium: a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967984
This paper shows that the risk-bearing capacity of U.S. securities brokers and dealers is a strong determinant of risk premia in commodity markets. Commodity derivatives are the principal instrument used by producers and consumers of commodities to hedge against commodity price risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857609
We propose a novel factor model for option returns. Option exposures are estimated nonparametrically and factor risk premia can vary nonlinearly with states. The model is estimated using regressions, with minimal assumptions on factor and option return dynamics. Using index options, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213854
This paper evaluates the underperformance of individual equity options relative to their replicating portfolios. Considering a high-dimensional set of variables, we use a machine learning approach to identify the characteristics of options and their underlying stocks that provide incremental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322614
in volatility. The economic rationale for the effect is still controversial. The competing explanations have different … implications for the origin of the relationship: Are volatility changes induced by index movements, or inversely, does volatility … implied volatility and index return in Germany based on Granger causality tests and impulse-response functions. Our dataset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257347