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We provide data and code that successfully reproduces nearly all cross-sectional stock return predictors. Unlike most metastudies, we carefully examine the original papers to determine whether our predictability tests should produce t-stats above 1.96. For the 180 predictors that were clearly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833630
We develop an estimator for publication bias adjusted returns and apply it to 156 replications of published long-short portfolio returns. Bias-adjusted returns are only 12.3% smaller than sample returns with a standard error of 1.7 percentage points. The small bias comes from the dispersion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903183
A simple general equilibrium production economy matches moments of the value premium and equity premium. Value firms have low productivity, but will eventually produce high cash flows. The present value of these temporally distant cash flows is especially sensitive to equity premium movements....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969553
We zero in on the expected returns of long-short portfolios based on 120 stock market anomalies by accounting for (1) effective bid-ask spreads, (2) post-publication effects, and (3) the modern era of trading technology that began in the early 2000s. Net of these effects, the average anomaly's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853428
Harvey, Liu, and Zhu (2016) “argue that most claimed research findings in financial economics are likely false.” Surprisingly, their false discovery rate (FDR) estimates suggest most are true. I revisit their results by developing non- and semi-parametric FDR estimators that account for...
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We provide data and code that successfully reproduces nearly all crosssectional stock return predictors. Unlike most metastudies, we carefully examine the original papers to determine whether our predictability tests should produce t-stats above 1.96. For the 180 predictors that were clearly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012224199