The relationships between crude and product prices are crucial throughout oil markets and especially so within the refining industry, where they define the refinery margin between cost of inputs (crudes) and value of outputs (products). The oil market is global but regional factors are also...

We document that the variance risk premium in asset returns decreases firms' investments.We theoretically model the premium; we find that it increases the value of the real optionto delay an investment and, thus, influences investments negatively. Empirically, we verifythe negative link between...

I generalize the long-run risks (LRR) model of Bansal and Yaron (2004) by incorporating recursive smooth ambiguity aversion preferences from Klibanoff et al. (2005, 2009) and time-varying ambiguity. Relative to the Bansal-Yaron model, the generalized LRR model is as tractable but more flexible...

This paper examines how oil and gas companies' reserves growth affects their share price returns. In particular, we examine three issues affecting the relation between reserves changes and oil and gas firm returns. First, we examine if investors value reserves replacement because of exploration...

We derive a general joint affine term structure model of US government bond yields and the convenience yields on physical commodities. We apply this framework separately to oil and gold. Our results show clear links between bond and commodity markets, since bond factors play a significant role...

We develop a zero beta industry model of growth options to explain the conflicting empirical findings on the relation between stock returns and idiosyncratic return volatility at the firm level. By allowing for the volatility of the underlying idiosyncratic choice variables to exhibit...

Funding is a cost to trading desks that they see as an input. Current FVA-related literature reflects this by also taking funding costs as an input, usually constant, and always risk-neutral. However, this funding curve is the output from a Treasury point of view. Treasury must consider...