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We decompose euro area sovereign bond yields into five distinct components: i) expected future short-term risk-free rates and a term premium, ii) default risk premium, iii) redenomination risk premium, iv) liquidity risk premium, and a v) segmentation (convenience) premium. Iden- tification is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519519
Empirical research on the benefits of investing in inflation-linked bonds usually relies on a limited number of … observations due to the relatively recent introduction of these assets. We estimate models for the break-even inflation rate and … use these to create hypothetical inflation-linked bond returns. We compare these with the return on actual inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934959
This paper investigates the determinants of nominal yields of government bonds in the eurozone. The pooled mean group … yields of long-term government bonds in a set of 11 eurozone countries. Furthermore, autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011695520
We assess the impact of announcements corresponding to different fiscal and monetary policy measures on the 10-year sovereign bond yield spreads (relative to Germany) of the 10 EMU countries during the period 01:1999 - 07:2016. Implementing pooled and country-fixed effects OLS regressions, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014108277
We revisit the concept of the cost of hedging inflation risks put forward in Bodie (1976). When doing so, we employ a …-varying compensation for expected and unexpected inflation shocks embedded in the sovereign bond yields of Germany, France, Japan and the … reflection of a low real risk-free rate, low inflation expectations and a low cost for hedging inflation risks. We have not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842461
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014430964
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301092
We study the relation between US inflation and the performance of global asset classes (including bonds, stocks … recent 30 years (1991–2020). We find that most assets had positive average real returns in both low- and high-inflation years …. While average real returns were lower in years with higher inflation for most assets, many of the differences are not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219638
inflation volatility have revived the debate on medium to long-term resurgence of inflation. This paper presents the optimal … strategic asset allocation for investors seeking to hedge inflation risk. Using a vector-autoregressive model, we investigate …, inflation-linked bonds, equities, commodities and real estate play an essential role. In a stable environment (“Great Moderation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130334
We inspect the price volatility before, during, and after financial asset bubbles in order to uncover possible commonalities and check empirically whether volatility might be used as an indicator or an early warning signal of an unsustainable price increase and the associated crash. Some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011762277