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The Federal Reserve's 2009 program to purchase $300 billion of U.S. Treasury securities represented an unprecedented intervention in the Treasury market and provides a natural experiment with the potential to shed light on the price elasticities of Treasuries and theories of supply effects in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096284
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011962585
This paper examines the relation between variations in perceived inflation uncertainty and bond premia. Using the … average individual uncertainty about inflation forecasts since 1968. We show that this ex-ante measure of inflation … uncertainty differs importantly from measures of disagreement regarding inflation forecasts and other proxies, such as model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010441139
The Federal Reserve's 2009 program to purchase $300 billion of U.S. Treasury securities represented an unprecedented intervention in the Treasury market and provides a natural experiment with the potential to shed light on the price elasticities of Treasuries and theories of supply effects in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115544
This paper asks how inflation shocks affect the risk and return characteristics of different asset classes. For an … unanticipated increase in inflation expectations, returns on equities and on the euro (relative to the dollar) increase, while … conclusions: In response to inflation shocks, equities are the most attractive asset class, while bonds are the least attractive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865116
According to the dynamic version of the Gordon growth model, the long-run expected return on stocks, stock yield, is the sum of the dividend yield on stocks plus some weighted average of expected future growth rates in dividends. We construct a measure of stock yield based on sell-side analysts'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044614
According to the dynamic version of the Gordon growth model, the long-run expected return on stocks, stock yield, is the sum of the dividend yield on stocks plus some weighted average of expected future growth rates in dividends. We construct a measure of stock yield as a model-imposed affine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044870
Using a unique data set of individual professional forecasts, we document disagreement about the future path of monetary policy, particularly at longer horizons. The stark differences in short rate forecasts imply strong disagreement about the risk-return trade-off of longer-term bonds....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249767
According to the dynamic version of the Gordon growth model, the long-run expected return on stocks, stock yield, is the sum of the dividend yield on stocks plus some weighted average of expected future growth rates in dividends. We construct a measure of stock yield based on sell-side analysts'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458014
Some empirical evidence suggests that the expected real interest and expected inflation rates are negatively correlated … rate on T-bills and the inflation rate indicate that the Mundell-Tobin hypothesis does not hold in the long run for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014132714