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Implied correlation, jointly extracted from index and stock options, is a robust predictor of long-term market returns. We document that its predictive power stems from its role as a leading procyclical state variable, predicting future investment opportunities, that is, financial-market risks...
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Financialization of carbon market and global economy have made the fluctuation of carbon emission allowance prices vulnerable to international shocks and risk management become more and more complicated for both investors and fossil fuel consumption enterprises. Based on studying the ergodicity...
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The authors investigate multiplicate relationships between investor attention and gold futures return. The Vector Auto Regression (VAR) estimates demonstrate that investor attention exhibits significant impact on gold futures returns and the effect can be positive or negative depending on how...
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