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While time series momentum is a well-studied phenomenon in finance, common strategies require the explicit definition of both a trend estimator and a position sizing rule. In this paper, we introduce Deep Momentum Networks -- a hybrid approach which injects deep learning based trading rules into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849594
In this work we use Recurrent Neural Networks and Multilayer Perceptrons, to predict NYSE, NASDAQ and AMEX stock prices from historical data. We experiment with different architectures and compare data normalization techniques. Then, we leverage those findings to question the efficient-market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834485
In this paper we propose and examine new approaches in smoothing transition autoregressive (STAR) models. Firstly, a new STAR function is proposed, which is the hyperbolic tangent sigmoid function. Secondly, we propose Feed-Forward Neural Networks Smoothing Transition Autoregressive (FFNN-STAR)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138095
It is common practice to employ returns, price differences or log returns for financial risk estimation and time series forecasting. In De Prado’s 2018 book, it was argued that by using returns we lose memory of time series. In order to verify this statement, we examined the differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284192
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This paper proposes a novel theory, coined as Topological Tail Dependence Theory, that links the mathematical theory … behind Persistent Homology (PH) and the financial stock market theory. This study also proposes a novel algorithm to measure … of this study provide evidence that the predictions drawn from the Topological Tail Dependence Theory are correct and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014514075
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The study proposes and a family of regime switching GARCH neural network models to model volatility. The proposed MS-ARMA-GARCH-NN models allow MS type regime switching in both the conditional mean and conditional variance for time series and further augmented with artificial neural networks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090501
The study reports empirical evidence that artificial neural network based models are applicable to forecasting of stock market returns. The Nigerian stock market logarithmic returns time series was tested for the presence of memory using the Hurst coefficient before the models were trained. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011488820