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We investigate whether investors are misled by firms that exclude particular expenses in calculating non-GAAP earnings in order to beat analysts' earnings forecasts. Our empirical analyses suggest that firms that pursue a strategy of non-GAAP reporting to beat analysts' earnings forecasts not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864015
Crowdsourcing — when a task normally performed by employees is outsourced to a large network of people via an open call — is making inroads into the investment research industry. We shed light on this new phenomenon by examining the value of crowdsourced earnings forecasts. Our sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007142
Crowdsourcing — when a task normally performed by employees is outsourced to a large network of people via an open call — is making inroads into the investment research industry. We shed light on this new phenomenon by examining the value of crowdsourced earnings forecasts. Our sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957645
We consider forecast guidance as a mechanism that managers use to avoid negative earnings surprises. Modeling forecast … forecast guidance to avoid negative earnings surprises than managers in weak-investor-protection countries. We also show that … US managers are more prone to use forecast guidance to avoid negative earnings surprises than managers in other countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115221
The state of the art in the analyst forecasting literature is that analyst earnings forecast ability is only firm … absence of a “spillover” effect, i.e., investors do not consider an analyst's earnings forecast ability regarding firm k when … reacting to his earnings forecast revision for firm j. We re-examine the issue of whether or not earnings forecast ability is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070639
when analysts forecast negative or large changes in EPS. We also compare the accuracy of a third forecast of longer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116514
We propose a novel method to forecast corporate earnings, which combines the accuracy of analysts' forecasts with the … their long-term performance. Our model outperforms the most popular methods from the literature in terms of forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854157
This study examines the relationship between components of OCI and analysts' forecasting behaviour, being forecast … negatively associated with forecast accuracy and herding. We also find that available for sale (AFS) amounts are positively … associated with forecast accuracy, herding and analyst following. Together with prior evidence, our findings provide empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872055
' earnings forecasts. We show that measures of prior consensus and individual analyst forecast pessimism are predictive of both … with a relatively high probability of forecast pessimism experience significantly higher announcement returns than those … difficulty investors have in identifying differences in expected forecast pessimism. Overall, we conclude that market prices do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937538
This paper reviews research that uses big data and/or machine learning methods to provide insight relevant for equity valuation. Given the huge volume of research in this area, the review focuses on studies that either use or inform on accounting variables. The article concludes by providing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433769